Typhoon Wiki · Typhoon Movement

Cone of Uncertainty

The cone of uncertainty is the shaded area shown on a forecast track map representing the range of possible paths a tropical cyclone's center could take, based on the historical accuracy of past forecasts.

Philippines Typhoon Wiki Glossary Cone of Uncertainty

Category

Typhoon Movement

Related Terms

12 in category

In Context

Being outside the cone does not mean an area is safe. The cone only reflects likely paths of the center, and a typhoon's wind field, rain bands, and hazards routinely extend well beyond its edges.

Related Terms in Typhoon Movement

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This definition is part of the azifind.com Typhoon Wiki, informed by PAGASA and the World Bank/GFDRR catastrophe risk data used across our province pages. View all Typhoon Wiki terms →