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In Context
Seasonal Forecast is one of 7 terms classified under Climate Terms in the azifind.com Typhoon Wiki. Understanding where a term sits within its category clarifies how it relates to the stages, warnings, or hazards around it during an active tropical cyclone.
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Climate Change
Climate change refers to long-term shifts in global weather patterns, linked by researchers to trends such as rising sea levels that worsen storm surge impact and warmer oceans that can fuel more intense typhoons.
Dry Season
The dry season in the Philippines runs roughly from December to May, when tropical cyclone activity and overall rainfall are typically at their lowest.
ENSO
ENSO, or El Niño Southern Oscillation, is the broader climate cycle encompassing both El Niño and La Niña phases, tracked by PAGASA to inform seasonal typhoon and rainfall outlooks.
El Niño
El Niño is a climate pattern marked by warmer than normal sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific, generally associated with fewer tropical cyclones affecting the Philippines and a higher risk of drought.
La Niña
La Niña is a climate pattern marked by cooler than normal sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific, generally associated with more tropical cyclone activity and higher rainfall in the Philippines.
Wet Season
The wet season in the Philippines runs roughly from June to November, overlapping closely with the peak of typhoon season and the southwest monsoon.
This definition is part of the azifind.com Typhoon Wiki, informed by PAGASA and the World Bank/GFDRR catastrophe risk data used across our province pages. View all Typhoon Wiki terms →